Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 383.888168 435.919911 493.706405 562.871372 643.701638 735.531908 848.259622
2025-11-09 312.022762 381.674552 466.146349 577.090063 720.374350 901.116865 1149.442398
2025-11-16 266.420259 341.965674 439.018948 574.672859 762.311336 1017.100687 1396.939954
2025-11-23 232.780565 310.237824 414.367510 567.353145 791.136390 1114.188535 1630.392381
2025-11-30 210.386241 289.584299 400.311016 570.251149 831.505203 1230.099849 1909.066143
2025-12-07 188.785324 266.947634 379.885755 559.778571 848.433508 1310.648246 2144.070772
2025-12-14 172.657615 250.176469 365.597232 555.840405 873.525393 1405.971497 2419.870400
2025-12-21 154.786357 228.834195 341.857502 533.543572 864.587715 1441.449119 2593.080780
2025-12-28 148.253448 224.157693 343.290717 551.984295 926.552279 1609.365061 3050.408941
2026-01-04 143.194622 221.198196 346.940885 574.215419 997.778626 1805.141024 3606.967766
2026-01-11 135.058348 212.430433 340.006871 576.837499 1032.760223 1936.275178 4054.935729
2026-01-18 125.314074 200.134688 325.893186 564.739066 1037.574235 2006.876312 4381.184073
2026-01-25 116.762979 189.364635 313.780871 555.626791 1048.314835 2094.327626 4776.450464
2026-02-01 112.662795 185.954098 314.377829 570.807493 1110.959430 2306.101295 5542.935865
2026-02-08 106.445220 178.274815 306.493613 568.352266 1135.774740 2436.431688 6130.449629
2026-02-15 100.185809 170.024441 296.808387 561.130916 1149.024332 2541.644805 6677.974985
2026-02-22 95.764546 164.779172 292.298106 563.991367 1185.236442 2709.617052 7462.851343
2026-03-01 90.146744 156.900607 282.069200 553.653504 1189.322376 2796.575664 8022.819861
2026-03-08 85.729854 150.974224 275.173381 549.765877 1208.262664 2926.382583 8767.244432
2026-03-15 79.705412 141.584711 260.700064 527.754012 1179.888354 2922.131726 9048.973176
2026-03-22 78.308462 141.046964 264.003280 545.959195 1255.097320 3224.621118 10551.747753
2026-03-29 77.308244 141.203356 268.716343 567.904548 1343.477264 3585.894115 12437.650554
2026-04-05 74.540079 137.638249 265.358954 570.492795 1380.667060 3799.787513 13820.558211